Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.020906 0.022579 0.024323 0.026277 0.028407 0.030661 0.033227
2025-10-19 0.018168 0.020571 0.023209 0.026325 0.029914 0.033926 0.038763
2025-10-26 0.016316 0.019130 0.022340 0.026287 0.031024 0.036548 0.043508
2025-11-02 0.014950 0.018028 0.021652 0.026252 0.031965 0.038864 0.047881
2025-11-09 0.013660 0.016865 0.020739 0.025793 0.032254 0.040293 0.051140
2025-11-16 0.012583 0.015860 0.019912 0.025328 0.032433 0.041512 0.054114
2025-11-23 0.011824 0.015187 0.019434 0.025239 0.033037 0.043252 0.057813
2025-11-30 0.011116 0.014525 0.018913 0.025033 0.033435 0.044697 0.061151
2025-12-07 0.010517 0.013962 0.018477 0.024894 0.033887 0.046201 0.064618
2025-12-14 0.009955 0.013412 0.018018 0.024681 0.034198 0.047498 0.067830
2025-12-21 0.009542 0.013039 0.017772 0.024738 0.034874 0.049319 0.071881
2025-12-28 0.009112 0.012616 0.017430 0.024628 0.035287 0.050760 0.075426
2026-01-04 0.008758 0.012298 0.017240 0.024758 0.036102 0.052904 0.080290
2026-01-11 0.008400 0.011958 0.017003 0.024806 0.036800 0.054919 0.085104
2026-01-18 0.008048 0.011605 0.016725 0.024771 0.037357 0.056735 0.089704
2026-01-25 0.007724 0.011277 0.016463 0.024738 0.037905 0.058551 0.094403
2026-02-01 0.007320 0.010809 0.015965 0.024309 0.037791 0.059290 0.097331
2026-02-08 0.006945 0.010365 0.015483 0.023874 0.037637 0.059939 0.100126
2026-02-15 0.006683 0.010082 0.015231 0.023790 0.038042 0.061522 0.104628
2026-02-22 0.006412 0.009773 0.014924 0.023597 0.038249 0.062771 0.108603
2026-03-01 0.006173 0.009503 0.014665 0.023467 0.038549 0.064184 0.112953
2026-03-08 0.005933 0.009221 0.014374 0.023267 0.038713 0.065362 0.116931
2026-03-15 0.005762 0.009042 0.014240 0.023321 0.039314 0.067333 0.122517